Two-thirds of French people consider a Macron-Le Pen duel likely in 2022 but do not want it, without identifying other competitors who would clearly win, indicates an Ifop poll for “Le Figaro” published Tuesday evening.
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Some 67% of those polled consider a second round between Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen quite or very likely, against only 18% who consider it unlikely or not likely. The share of those who predict this duel reaches 82% and 86% respectively among LREM and RN sympathizers.
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On the other hand, 70% of the French do not want this face to face, including 67% of LREM sympathizers. Hopefully, only RN sympathizers are in the majority, at 75%.
Asked who would win in the event of a duel, the French are 37% to predict the victory of Emmanuel Macron, 25% bet on Marine Le Pen and 38% do not comment.
As for the other personalities who would be of “Good candidates” for the right or for the left, no name unites a majority. For the right, Xavier Bertrand, cited by 27% of those polled, comes clearly in the lead, followed by Valérie Pécresse (for 17%), followed by Michel Barnier (15%), who is entering this ranking. Laurent Wauquiez (11%) and Bruno Retailleau (6%) follow.
Left-right cleavage “exceeded”
Opinions on “Good candidates” for the left are also dispersed, with Anne Hidalgo cited by 20% of respondents, followed by Jean-Luc Mélenchon (18%), Arnaud Montebourg (16%), and environmentalists Yannick Jadot (12%) and Eric Piolle (3% )
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In addition, two-thirds of French people (64%) consider the left-right divide to be exceeded, or more decisive (28%). Only 8% find that it still plays a determining role.
The survey was conducted with a sample of 2,085 people, representative of the French population aged 18 and over, and was carried out online from February 5 to 8, 2021.